July 07, 2008

Business News Summary July 7, 2008


from the Xinhua Finance newsfeed:


-China's Hu leaves for Japan to attend G8 climate change session
-Q2 business prosperity index rises to 137.4 vs 136.2 in Q1
-China to buy additional 300,000 tons sugar at 3,400 yuan per ton
-China economy expanded at 'decent' rate in Q2 - JPMorgan
-CITIC Bank sees H1 net profit up over 150 pct yr-on-yr
-Bank of Ningbo sees H1 net profit up 85-90 pct
-Vanke H1 property sales 24.13 bln yuan, up 38.1 pct yr-on-yr
-Chongqing Changan Auto June vehicle sales 18,053 units
-General Motors H1 China sales up 12.7 pct yr-on-yr at 590,126 vehicles
-China Railway Group units wins 2.95 bln yuan worth of contracts
-Exim Bank to auction 10 bln yuan in 3-yr floating-rate debt
-China Shipping Group to auction 100 pct of terminal unit for 2.6 bln yuan
-Alibaba Group invests 2 bln yuan in online auction unit Taobao.com
-China NDRC approves two alumina projects involving total capacity 1.5 mln tons
-HK-listed CNOOC Ltd reports new discovery in Bohai Bay
-China Eastern Airlines to lease three A340 aircraft from ICBC unit
-Western Mining completes approval process for FerrAus deal
-SDIC, Dutch group Vopak to build crude storage facility in Hainan
-Asia Environment completes placement of 50 mln shares to KSC Fund
-Singapore-listed Bio-Treat reaches settlement with Abax; no material impact seen
-China NDRC approves nation's first offshore wind power project
-Singapore-listed Jiutian Chemical to invest in new methanol facility
-Huaneng Group wins approval to build two wind farms
-BoComm raised to 'BBB+' on capital strength, risk management - S&P
-Hong Kong-listed Agile Property's rating unaffected by Morgan Stanley deal-S&P

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June 30, 2008

How Low Will Chinese Stocks Go? Renewable Energy Push and a News Roundup

visit www.sinomania.com for full transcript

Sinomania! Show episode 59 for June 30, 2008, looks at the Shanghai Stock Market crash, differing views on Chinese stocks, Beijing's new push for renewable energy--wind, solar, and more, plus new items of interest.



June 27, 2008

Curtains for Shanghai?


Investment advisors and analysts -- Howard Gold and Nicholas Vardy are but two examples -- are warning not to "put a dime into Chinese stocks" at least until the bottom is reached in Chinese stock markets. Since 2008 began, Shanghai A and B shares have lost 40% or more and are down even further compared to Shanghai's peak in October 2007. The Shanghai Composite was down over 5% today alone.

Last May I pondered if the Shanghai Composite would end up like the NASDAQ or Nikkei bubbles -- watch my video on YouTube. I was surprised to see Shanghai go up all the way past 6,000 later in the year. Many analysts now believe the index will need to sink all the way to between 1,000-2,000 to hit bottom.

But I think comparison to the far more mature NASDAQ and Nikkei markets is simplistic. There are too many variables with Shanghai and its latest incarnation goes back only to 1990. Will foreign buyers be allowed into the A market? Will A and B shares finally merge? Will outflows by individual Chinese retain investors be extended to every investor? I think it is entirely too premature to dismiss Chinese stocks as important and long position investments, particulary in new technology (green & alternative energy) sectors.

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China Drill Grill


The first China bash talking point in the US presidential election cycle is circulating and it's a particulary goofy one relating to the renewed interest in drilling for oil on the continental shelf off the eastern seaboard. China, according to Republican Congressmen, is already drilling there off Cuba! None other than Vice President Dick Cheney has refuted this claim but it is widespread on talk radio and TV - Sinomania! first heard it on CNN a few days ago. Unfortunately, like Obama's Muslim past, it is a fabrication that repeated enough is taking hold in minds willing - and wanting - to believe it.

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June 19, 2008

China Spoke, Oil Markets Listened


Beijing will allow key price increases in the energy sector giving oil and gas majors approval for close to 18% price hikes, the second double digit increase in less than a year. Fuel remains subsidized in China and undervalued to world markets.

The announcement brought down the spot price for a barrel of oil more than $4 today.

Electric utilities will also get a rate hike - something sought after before last Winter's devastating snow storms -- to increase kilowatt hour charges just under 5%.

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June 17, 2008

Paulson: China and USA to Maintain "Global Economic System"


The 4th Strategic Economic Dialogue bilateral talks between China and the United States are underway in Annapolis, Maryland.

The Chinese delegation is emphasizing joint cooperation on energy and the environment stressing that the world's number 1 and 2 oil importers have much to gain by working together.

Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson said that both nations are responsible for "maintaining a stable, secure and prosperous global economic system."

It is only a matter of time before China becomes an issue in the Presidential elections. Will the strategic dialogue fall victim to politics by year's end?

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June 10, 2008

Sichuan Quake Impacts Oil Supply


Heroic efforts to drain the dangerous Tangjiashan 'quake lake' are jeopardizing the sole oil pipeline to Sichuan Province and giant Chongqing municipality. State-owned conglomerate China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) suspended operation of the Lanzhou - Chengdu - Chongqing pipeline for an unknown length of time.

A CNPC manager in Sichuan told Xinhua it had 20 days of reserves to offset the disruption. The pipeline has capacity t0 transport 6 million tons of oil annually and supplies almost three fourths of the oil needed for the region and downstream to Yunnan and Guizhou Provinces.

There is a potential impact for short-term shortages and price inflation in the area.

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China Shares Nosedive


Chinese stock prices collapsed June 10 with the worst showing since the February 2007 pop of the bull run. Chinese financials, banks specifically, were hard hit and the spin on the crash is that markets are nervous about inflation and Beijing's action to raise, for the 5th time in a year, the reserve ratio requirement for banks. But the reserve hike was expected and only the timing could be a surprise. So was the recent improvement just a bear market rally?

Some numbers: benchmark Shanghai Composite closed June 10 just above 3,000 at 3,072.33 down 7.73% back to the level of last spring - CSI 300 Index sank over 8% - and B shares are down almost 7.5% in Shanghai losing almost all of their recent gain - ShenZhen Bs mirror Shanghai's bad performance.

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