January 18, 2011

US-China Summit: China Policy in Disarray

WASHINGTON, DC -- On the 20th anniversary of the fist Gulf War crisis Chinese President Hu Jintao arrived today for a state visit. Chinese flags fluttered across the cold American capital as the usual China gatekeepers pontificated in print and airwaves about the need for China to be "responsible" and the importance of the stale policy concerns of Washington toward Beijing.

America's China policy is bereft of innovation and woefully outdated. Now defined by both State and Treasury Departments neither Tim Geithner nor Hillary Clinton offer anything new. Geithner continues to stress currency an issue where he knows the USA has no high ground (the USA is as much a currency "manipulator" as China or Japan or the EU) and Geithner knows full well the USA will never get China to budge on Yuan appreciation. As for State Hillary Clinton trotted out human rights concerns that sounded like leftovers from her time at the UN Conference on Women in Beijing. China's human rights record hinders investment she says. Really? Yet China remains the world's top destination for foreign direct investment.

The reason the unacknowledged anniversary of Gulf War I is important is because both nations are dependent on the steady flow of Persian Gulf oil - China even more so than the USA. In January 1991 China came out in full support of Kuwait and the rhetoric behind the air strikes against Saddam Hussein. Only a few months earlier in July 1990 Beijing established relations with Saudi Arabia and the quest was on for oil contracts Chinese leaders knew the country would soon need. By 1993 China became a net oil importer. Around the same time US oil imports grew faster as domestic production peaked and began a steady decline. Yet there is no talk of "peak oil" or the resource competition underway between our two nations - the world's top two energy users and polluters.

Meanwhile in the background the Pentagon and its friends in the Anglo-American media beat the war drums with scary stories about missile gaps (China's "carrier killer" missiles may make our 12 Navy aircraft carrier groups obsolete!) and Chinese planes that might achieve 1980s level technology.

So can we expect more of the same stupid discourse on China in the 2012 election cycle? Unless something different emerges from this week's meetings I fear we will again kick China policy and our need for cooperation further down the road to mutual destruction.

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What about the demands fro market access? China shuts us out but expects to sell us everything. Glad to see that is a push. See this: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/19/world/asia/19prexy.html
I agree access to markets in China is very important but the NYT piece gave few specifics. the vague reference to government procurement should be the headline here. One way Obama could push back would be to demand China begin accession to the WTO Government Procurement Agreement - a requirement of WTO accession that China has ignored for a decade now! Why is this not a top priority for the administration versus tit-for-tat tariffs and countervailing duties on behalf of private companies and campaign contributers (big labor)?
you dunked that oppressive "protection order" liberal american hag down well and shoved a wooden witch's broomstick between her state department veinie wrinkled legs.

however, your dismal prognosis is a bit extreme. the stupid people are not really in charge - thank god, me, and mao. society of mutal protection rarely leads the society of mutal distruction. i think it has to do with matrix inversion and calculas based physics and the conservation of chaos theory - confucious say.

your "tomahawk right" explanation on pentagon behavior is not surprising. nato is still waiting on 40,000 chineese soldiers for iraq and 100,000 redskins for afghanistan.

excellent opening sentence and broadside. emphasising hillary's precocious diplomatic skill in your title does a disservice to your most important point.

war is personal and it is good for business.

effectively export democracy and send more stupid social workers into the very very dangerous land of allah because it is in the best interest of china and the backwoods of america.
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