March 14, 2008

Riots in Tibet


In late February an anonymous tipster in China told Sinomania! to “watch out” soon for big protests. On Tuesday I reported on the apparently coordinated protests that were occurring around the world by angry groups of Tibetans demanding peace. The agitations continue and have now turned violent in the Tibetan capital Lhasa, site of the ancient Tibetan theocracy’s 1000-room Potala Palace.

Consider the words used in the news coverage of the riots in Tibet: the protestors we are told are “anti-China,” “pro-democracy,” it is an “intifadeh” according to TIME magazine, and all wire services condemn China’s use of “brutal force.” The latter words are straight from the lips of the Dalai Lama whose press releases have eerily matched the timing of each showy demonstration from the beginning of this week to today’s well photographed shout matches outside the United Nations building, in London, and elsewhere.

The reports of “gunfire” can be traced to the United States embassy in Beijing which says it heard of gunfire from phone calls to the embassy. Other sources of what’s happening in Tibet right now are the numerous, nameless “rights groups” that have the ear of Taiwan newspapers, the NED funded Radio Free Asia and Voice of America, and the Agence France Press.

So out of 2,000-odd headlines currently aggregated by Google News relating to these events of Tibet and Tibetans what do we really know?

The Chinese government is officially blaming the Dalai Lama himself for much of the agitation. This may surprise most Americans and many in Paris, London, and Berlin, since the luxury loving, alcohol drinking, meat-eating, Dalai Lama has so successfully branded himself to “peace” and “spiritual fulfillment,” but His Holiness is a very active and opportunistic politician. As I pointed out on this blog and in a video that was banned by YouTube the Dalai Lama is a tool of the American government. And the USA does influence China’s Himalayan border from Laos to Afghanistan with CIA psy-ops and actual troop presence as it has for over 60 years.

More likely, however, the real culprit behind the trouble in Lhasa is inflation and poverty. The Chinese Parliament (which is in session – showing obvious political timing to the unrest) is grappling with record inflation. Food prices are up over 23% on average. Prices for all goods and staples are rising dramatically including fuel and cooking oil. Remember, it was a surge in cooking oil prices that sent the Burma (Myanmar) monks over the edge last fall.

The Beijing government's statistical bureau does not publish Tibet data individually, alone of China’s provinces and autonomous areas. The lack of transparency into Tibet may be because it is a very skewed place. Reports are that inflation may run as high as 300% in the region. And ethnic Tibetans are mired in poverty. It is also well known that Chinese dominate the day-to-day markets and businesses in Lhasa and the urban areas of Tibet. When wire reports talk of shops looted, markets ablaze, and overturned Audis set afire in the streets, something other than “democracy” is at issue.

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March 12, 2008

Special Report: 11th National People's Congress - the Chinese Parliament 2008

Beijing Plays Musical Chairs: Report on the National Peoples Congress - Chinese Stocks Tank!

Full transcript at www.sinomania.com 



Buffet and Greenspan on Sovereign Wealth Funds China Markets and IPOs

Markets Plunge - Sovereign Wealth Fund - IPOs - National People's Congress convenes -- full transcript at www.sinomania.com


Rearranging The Deck Chairs


The biggest news so far of the 11th National People's Congress is a major restructuring of China’s state council, the day-to-day government of Beijing and the Chinese President’s cabinet.

New “super ministries” will be set up to prevent bureaucratic turf wars and bring central control down to at least the provincial level. There will be a new energy ministry charged with energy security that will be under the increasingly powerful National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).

A new ministry for industry and information, also under the NDRC, will integrate macro level economic data and control.

A new ministry of transport will be consolidated from the existing Ministries of Coomunications and Civil Aviation. This will create in effect a Chinese FAA and national postal service.

A new ministry for human resources and social security including a central government bureau for civil servants will be made out of the old Ministry of Personnel and Ministry of Labor and Social Security.

The Chinese State Environmental Protection Administration will become a cabinet level ministry of environmental protection, a Chinese EPA, if you will.

There will be a new ministry for housing and urban and rural construction to replace the Ministry of Construction. And the State Food and Drug Administration will come under direct control of China ’s Ministry of Health.

All told 15 central government departments are involved the most important reshuffle in Beijing for close to a generation. There will be significant impacts on the regulatory environment and business resulting from these moves, something to watch over the next few years as consolidation takes place.

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March 11, 2008

Ultimate Hypocrisy


The USA State Department released its annual report on human rights today. As expected the report derides China and accuses the Chinese of torturing prisoners.

Hello Pot? This is Kettle...

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Tibet Protestors Desecrate Historic, Holy Sites


Small groups of angry demonstrators demanding "peace" desecrated the historic site of the ancient Olympic Games in Olympia, Greece, and a Buddhist shrine in Nepal yesterday in a carefully orchestrated global publicity stunt connected to if not coordinated by the the Dalai Lama.

In Olympia, Greece, birthplace of the ancient Olympic Games, demonstrators were prevented from staging their "freedom run" by local police. Olympia Mayor Giorgos Aidonis said “Olympia is a site of peace, not a place for political conflict or the settlement of disputes.”

Other protests occurred outside the Boudhanath holy shrine in Nepal, in New Delhi, and outside the San Francisco City Hall.

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March 06, 2008

National People's Congress Open For Business



The first session of the 11th National People’s Congress convened Wednesday (March 5, 2008) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

Premier or Prime Minister Wen Jiabao opened the session with remarks on the state of the Chinese union emphasizing challenges ahead particularly dealing with inflation.

Beijing will pursue a “tight monetary policy” according to Wen signaling the central government’s worry over excessive liquidity and runaway growth in some areas.

As expected, Beijing will channel excess cash into more state investment, already accounting for over 45% of China’s Gross Domestic Product. Investment targets will be health care and social security bureaucracies based on United States models. Housing and safe drinking water for China’s impoverished classes will also receive state directed investment.

The Congress will vote on the candidates already selected last October by the Communist Party for top government positions. Hu Jintao will no doubt be elected for a second and final 5 year term as President.

But there are some interesting items to watch on the Congress agenda. For example, debate on “institutional restructuring of the State Council,” China’s day-to-day working government and a vote on changing the election law to adjust the level of representation for rural Chinese.

Currently, each rural delegate of the Chinese congress represents 4 rural residents. The aim of the reform is to increase representation for Chinese rural citizens. Also there will be discussion of a Congressional delegation for migrant workers.

And in another show of support to the vast floating population of migrant workers in China, by some estimates perhaps 200 million people, Wen Jiabao announced mandated paid vacations for migrants.

It is easy for foreign observers, particularly American media, to dismiss the National Peoples’ Congress as a rubber stamp farce. But as I’ve pointed out before, you ignore the work of the NPC at your peril.

The Congress affirms the direction China is going and gives law to Beijing’s policies. Each year thousands of petitions, white papers, and forums are presented by ordinary Chinese (an ancient tradition, by the way, that predates any Chinese republic) and in this great airing of gripes and views are clues to the aspirations and desires of the Chinese people.

The NPC will adjourn March 19. I’ll have a report on this year’s session in next week's episode of The Sinomania! Show video broadcast.

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March 04, 2008

Pentagon Trades GWOT for China


The Pentagon made its annual report to the US Congress on China's military this week with the usual bluster about expenditures and technology upgrades. Impressionable Americans in key political districts (those that host military-industrial complex businesses and their politicians, lobbyists, and boosters) will fret over scary headlines about the Chinese bogeyman. But the sane among us (Sinomania! readers, of course) know that Chinese arms spending is but a tiny fraction of the now $1 trillion US defense budget and that no Chinese ballistic missile is yet capable of reaching the continental USA despite lies to the contrary.

That the Pentagon needs to inflate the Chinese bogeyman says more about the state of (and public sentiment toward) the Global War On Terror than it does about any threat from China.

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February 22, 2008

Taiwan Reunification Watch - Update


A big significant step taken in the Beijing - Taipei thaw reported today by the London Financial Times. Fubon Bank of Taiwan will be allowed to buy a 20% stake of Xiamen Commercial Bank (of Xiamen on the mainland side of the Taiwan straits) through its Hong Kong susidiary with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority acting as go-between.


This is yet another example of how Beijing will use Hong Kong as intermediary (if not overt example) for its absorption of Taiwan. Gaze at the geography of greater Xiamen in the map above - could it be another Hong Kong in the making? Nothing prevents it but outdated (and non-Chinese) ideology...

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February 21, 2008

General Motors Turns Chinese - New China Funds - Coal Boom?

Full Transcript at www.sinomania.com


February 19, 2008

KISSINGER: CHINA A POTENTIAL PARTNER


The German daily Der Spiegel interviewed Henry Kissinger and the conversation reveals Kissinger is as obsessed as ever over Israel's survival and opposing Russia. Here's what he had to say about China:



SPIEGEL: Is China still a partner or primarily a rival?

Kissinger: China has to be treated as a potential partner. We must use all ingenuity to create a system in which the great states of Asia -- which really are not nation-states in the European sense but large conglomerates of cultures -- can participate. We have no choice.

SPIEGEL: Does the fact that "guided democracies" like Russia or China are currently more successful in economic terms undermine the attractiveness of Western-style democracy? Is that a new model that is becoming attractive for young people?

Kissinger: The problem of guided democracies is that they have great difficulties solving the problem of succession and of giving access to the widest possible pool of talent. China has come closer to solving that problem than any other undemocratic system. I believe that the democratic model is better and more durable for the future but not automatically. It depends on our vision and determination.

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SARS Bat Link Confirmed


Five years ago, during the press hysteria (and smokescreen to the USA's invasion of Iraq) on SARS, I brought my readers' attention to reports and research on the connection between bats in south east Asia and the SARS virus.


New research has confirmed the link.

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